Why #Egypt is a quagmire

Like many people I look at things in Egypt and I say what the heck is going on. Plus ça change, plus c’est pareil…

As much as I am not a fan of Islamism as a political ideology, I am not a fan of mob rule and of an army junta who wants to take payback by thinking that silencing those related with the Muslim Brotherhood is a good idea to make them weaker. 

It will not. It will leads them into violence, into terrorism, into armed militias and especially considering that one big problem with the political elite in Egypt is that they are gazillion years older than the average Egyptian who is in his early twenties.

If you look at history books, it’s a recipe for civil war to have any society where you tend to ostracize of the political arena people who have a  sizable amount of support. As much as the former MB government in Egypt had downsides, having mob rule is a terrible thing to happens to any place in the world. If you look at all the rapes at places like Tahir Square, at the fact that a BBC journalist was shot in the head, at the army shooting people in open fire, you tend to see that the Arab Spring had become the mob rule summer. The revolutionary romanticism is now well over. 

Furthermore, there is a sense of naivety among some who participated in the Egyptian Revolution. Things will not change rapidly. Not all revolutions went well in history like those in Eastern Europe in the late 1980’s, early 1990’s, as even the French Revolution was the theatre of many episodes of absolute carnage before an Emperor came into power as the  »protector » of the nation.

In many revolutions in history (especially those based on the mysticism of  »the streets » and not on ideas or human achievement), there was nothing mystical or  »sexy » about them. Instead revolutions were good ways to put the worse of anyone and to elevate the spirits of those who believe that determinism will triumph over common sense and the rule of law. 

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